Trip to Mars

We live in a new space age. The first one occurred when the US first put a man on the Moon and everyone was excited because they thought that the world could put a colony on the Moon or even Mars. This did not happen. Now, this is the second space age: SpaceX is about to go to Mars, but nobody is interested. The exact reverse of the plan to go to Mars.

But what's SpaceX's plan?

Well, SpaceX wants to go when the Earth - Mars trip takes the least amount of time. Earth moves around the Sun faster than Mars, so the Earth - Mars trip takes the least amount of time every 26 months. (More on that in a footnote or mini blog post later).

When do these times occur?

May 22, 2016. This happened in the past and is special, because it is the last transit to have no one talking, because:

July 2018.

SpaceX plans on sending a Falcon rocket to Mars. This will bring cargo to Mars, and everyone will be talking about it. and then:

October 2020.

SpaceX plans on sending multiple Falcon rockets to Mars. More cargo is brought to Mars. This will be slightly more boring than before because people will be used to spaceships on Mars.

December 2022.

SpaceX plans to bring a rocket that could carry a human onto Mars. This rocket will only carry cargo, but this is a test for the next time:

January 2025.

SpaceX plans to bring the first crew to Mars.

Can you believe that? In less than 8 years, people will be building and researching on Mars. In another 26 months after that, some of these heroes will return and will be honored for their bravery. (After all, there are risks taken here.)

After 50 years, Mars could have a 100,000 people on it. There could be shops and skyscrapers and roads connecting cities. Scientists could be talking about going to a moon on Jupiter.

After 100 years, Mars could be sustainable and a new colony on Jupiter could be established. The trip from Mars to Earth could be 3 months or less, instead of 6-9 months currently planned.

What if we die before the colony on Mars could sustain itself?

There is about a 9.5% chance that we all die before 2117 or an 8% chance that we die before 2100. Assuming the colony is self-sufficient after 2125 (100 years after the first launch), we have a 10.3% chance of dying. This data is according to here.

For more information about the rocket that will bring humans to Mars (that is a lot longer than this post), click here.

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